Option Value Calculator
Model a domain investment using its purchase price, renewal costs, sale probability, exit value, and cost of capital. The calculation is free, no signup required. It costs 1 credit to verify the assumptions with Speeder, and verification requires an account.
What could this domain return?
Use realistic numbers. Small probability changes have a large effect.
The numbers that matter most
Current assumptionsPresent value of the opportunity
After costs and discounting
Return on invested capital
Across the full holding period
- Expected net profit
- $1,456.31
- Expected sale revenue
- $1,576.16
- Expected liquidation revenue
- $240.15
- Total expected revenue
- $1,816.31
- Present option value
- $1,636.31
- Expected investment return
- 404.53%
Want Speeder to challenge these numbers?
Speeder checks the domain, market evidence, and your investment framework. Verification uses 1 credit only when the report completes.
How the model works+
A probability-weighted holding decision
The model combines an end-user sale during the holding period with a wholesale liquidation if no sale occurs. It subtracts renewal costs and discounts the result for time and risk.
Cumulative probability = 1 - (1 - annual probability)years. The annual chance is assumed constant and independent each year.
Each outcome value is multiplied by its probability. If no end-user sale happens, the model assumes a wholesale exit at the end.
Renewal costs are subtracted as one total, matching the reference sheet. The remaining option value is discounted by the cost of capital over the holding period.